13 Oct · 13:20 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1728
FormLWLLL
57%Win chancemodel fair 1.75Miastowski
MM
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1791
FormWLWWW
43%
57%
Fair odds · Miastowski
Model 57% · 1.75vsMarket 68% · 1.48· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~74 pts
1-3
22%
0-3
18%
3-1
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+63
H2H34-9
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+63)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (34-9)