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13 Oct · 12:10 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1585
3-1Final setsMitas won
DKDawid Kosmal
🇵🇱Dawid Kosmal
ELO 1604
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kosmal at 53%. The actual result was Jacek Mitas 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Mitas favoured — closing 1.8
Favourite won
Total 73.5
79 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jacek Mitas −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jacek Mitas −0.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.75
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jacek Mitas is favoured to win, below means Dawid Kosmal.

▲ Jacek Mitaspre 50% → final 95%
Dawid Kosmal ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsMitas recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games