13 Oct · 15:30 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1434
FormLLLLL
69%Win chancemodel fair 1.45Zochniak
JZ
🇵🇱Jakub Zochniak
ELO 1619
FormLWWWL
31%
69%
🌟Zochniak rarely covers set handicap as favourite 33% (39)
Fair odds · Zochniak
Model 69% · 1.45vsMarket 63% · 1.58· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 52%Total ~76 pts
1-3
27%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
12%
3-2
11%
Elo Gap+185
H2H62-51
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+185)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (62-51)