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13 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
DKDaniel Kostal
🇵🇱Daniel Kostal
ELO 1551
3-1Final setsKostal won
JMJacek Mitas
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1585
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Mitas at 55%. The actual result was Daniel Kostal 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jacek Mitas favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 73.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Jacek Mitas −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jacek Mitas −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Daniel Kostal is favoured to win, below means Jacek Mitas.

▲ Daniel Kostalpre 41% → final 100%
Jacek Mitas ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKostal recovered from 28%72 points · 4 games