13 Oct · 15:50 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MS
🇵🇱Miroslav Sklensky
ELO 1724
FormWLLWL
65%Win chancemodel fair 1.54Sklensky
JM
🇵🇱Jacek Mitas
ELO 1585
FormLWLWW
65%
35%
Fair odds · Sklensky
Model 65% · 1.54vsMarket 62% · 1.60· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 49%Total ~73 pts
3-1
25%
3-0
24%
3-2
16%
1-3
14%
2-3
13%
Elo Gap+139
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+139)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)