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13 Oct · 14:15 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1587
3-1Final setsRutkowski won
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1795
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 73%. The actual result was Mateusz Rutkowski 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 74.5
82 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
10
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Rutkowski is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Miastowski.

▲ Mateusz Rutkowskipre 28% → final 83%
Maksymilian Miastowski ▼
Biggest swing 75 ptsRutkowski recovered from 17%72 points · 4 games