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13 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
SJSebastian Juzek
🇵🇱Sebastian Juzek
ELO 1419
3-0Final setsJuzek won
RSRafal Skotniczny
🇵🇱Rafal Skotniczny
ELO 1636
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skotniczny at 74%. The actual result was Sebastian Juzek 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Rafal Skotniczny favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 71.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Rafal Skotniczny −8.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
20
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Sebastian Juzek is favoured to win, below means Rafal Skotniczny.

▲ Sebastian Juzekpre 21% → final 96%
Rafal Skotniczny ▼
Biggest swing 88 ptsJuzek recovered from 8%72 points · 5 games