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13 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PGPawel Gasiorski
🇵🇱Pawel Gasiorski
ELO 1749
1-3Final setsJuszczyk won
KJKrzysztof Juszczyk
🇵🇱Krzysztof Juszczyk
ELO 1499
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Gasiorski at 77%. The actual result was Krzysztof Juszczyk 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Gasiorski favoured — closing 1.2
Upset
Total 70.5
84 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Gasiorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Gasiorski −9.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Gasiorski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Juszczyk.

▲ Pawel Gasiorskipre 81% → final 18%
Krzysztof Juszczyk ▼
Biggest swing 77 ptsJuszczyk recovered from 16%72 points · 4 games