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13 Oct · 18:55 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMateusz Trela
🇵🇱Mateusz Trela
ELO 1393
3-1Final setsTrela won
DSDariusz Szlubowski
🇵🇱Dariusz Szlubowski
ELO 1427
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Szlubowski at 54%. The actual result was Mateusz Trela 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Dariusz Szlubowski favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 75.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Dariusz Szlubowski −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mateusz Trela is favoured to win, below means Dariusz Szlubowski.

▲ Mateusz Trelapre 42% → final 89%
Dariusz Szlubowski ▼
Biggest swing 62 ptsTrela recovered from 31%72 points · 4 games