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13 Oct · 19:20 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1286
2-3Final setsSkorski won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1395
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 62%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 76.5
94 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −4.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 2-3 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jaroslaw Rolak is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Jaroslaw Rolakpre 34% → final 7%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsSkorski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games