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13 Oct · 20:05 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBartlomiej Mrugala
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1339
1-3Final setsSkorski won
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1395
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 55%. The actual result was Michal Skorski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 76.5
71 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Bartlomiej Mrugala is favoured to win, below means Michal Skorski.

▲ Bartlomiej Mrugalapre 48% → final 2%
Michal Skorski ▼
Biggest swing 69 ptsSkorski recovered from 29%70 points · 4 games