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13 Oct · 20:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1501
3-1Final setsAdamus won
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1603
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 62%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.37
Upset
Total 75.5
80 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
7.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Marek Tkocz.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 40% → final 72%
Marek Tkocz ▼
Biggest swing 47 ptsAdamus recovered from 40%72 points · 4 games