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13 Oct · 21:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1395
1-3Final setsRolak won
JRJaroslaw Rolak
🇵🇱Jaroslaw Rolak
ELO 1286
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 63%. The actual result was Jaroslaw Rolak 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.45
Upset
Total 76.5
78 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Jaroslaw Rolak.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 67% → final 93%
Jaroslaw Rolak ▼
Biggest swing 83 ptsSkorski recovered from 10%72 points · 5 games