14 Oct · 00:55 MESZMedium · Model Lean
MS
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1395
FormLWWWL
56%Win chancemodel fair 1.79Skorski
BM
🇵🇱Bartlomiej Mrugala
ELO 1339
FormLLWLW
56%
44%
Fair odds · Skorski
Model 56% · 1.79vsMarket 55% · 1.81· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 40%Total ~78 pts
3-1
22%
3-0
18%
1-3
17%
3-2
16%
2-3
14%
Elo Gap+56
H2H11-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 1 reason
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+56)