14 Oct · 00:25 MESZMedium · Model Lean
PS
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1426
FormWWWWW
58%Win chancemodel fair 1.72Adamus
MA
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1501
FormWWWLL
42%
58%
🌟Adamus goes over total as favourite 67% (33)
Fair odds · Adamus
Model 58% · 1.72vsMarket 56% · 1.77· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 41%Total ~77 pts
1-3
23%
0-3
19%
2-3
17%
3-1
17%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+75
H2H21-15
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+75)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (21-15)