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13 Oct · 22:50 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MTMarek Tkocz
🇵🇱Marek Tkocz
ELO 1597
1-3Final setsPaszkiewicz won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1498
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Tkocz at 59%. The actual result was Michal Paszkiewicz 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marek Tkocz favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Set handicap
Marek Tkocz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marek Tkocz −6.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marek Tkocz is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Marek Tkoczpre 63% → final 1%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 80 ptsPaszkiewicz recovered from 19%70 points · 4 games