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13 Oct · 23:05 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1452
3-0Final setsBrunner won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1467
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 58%. The actual result was Marian Brunner 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jerzy Michalik favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Set handicap
Jerzy Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jerzy Michalik −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
11
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 45% → final 100%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 59 ptsBrunner recovered from 41%49 points · 3 games