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DeuceLab
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13 Oct · 23:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MAMariusz Adamus
🇵🇱Mariusz Adamus
ELO 1501
3-2Final setsAdamus won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1498
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paszkiewicz at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Adamus 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Paszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Set handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Adamus is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Mariusz Adamuspre 42% → final 2%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 47 pts61 points · 3 games