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13 Oct · 23:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MSMichal Skorski
🇵🇱Michal Skorski
ELO 1392
2-3Final setsLukaszewski won
MLMikolaj Lukaszewski
🇵🇱Mikolaj Lukaszewski
ELO 1307
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Skorski at 60%. The actual result was Mikolaj Lukaszewski 2-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Skorski favoured — closing 1.85
Upset
Total 76.5
97 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Skorski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Skorski −0.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Skorski is favoured to win, below means Mikolaj Lukaszewski.

▲ Michal Skorskipre 64% → final 25%
Mikolaj Lukaszewski ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsLukaszewski recovered from 15%72 points · 5 games