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14 Oct · 00:00 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1459
3-1Final setsSlosarczyk won
SKSebastian Krupa
🇵🇱Sebastian Krupa
ELO 1547
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Krupa at 64%. The actual result was Pawel Slosarczyk 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Sebastian Krupa favoured — closing 1.42
Upset
Total 73.5
72 points played
Under
Set handicap
Sebastian Krupa −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Sebastian Krupa −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
5.9
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Slosarczyk is favoured to win, below means Sebastian Krupa.

▲ Pawel Slosarczykpre 31% → final 98%
Sebastian Krupa ▼
Biggest swing 68 ptsSlosarczyk recovered from 31%71 points · 4 games