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14 Oct · 02:45 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MBMarian Brunner
🇵🇱Marian Brunner
ELO 1452
3-2Final setsBrunner won
JMJerzy Michalik
🇵🇱Jerzy Michalik
ELO 1467
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Michalik at 54%. The actual result was Marian Brunner 3-2 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jerzy Michalik favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
89 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jerzy Michalik −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Jerzy Michalik −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Marian Brunner is favoured to win, below means Jerzy Michalik.

▲ Marian Brunnerpre 49% → final 98%
Jerzy Michalik ▼
Biggest swing 54 pts72 points · 5 games