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14 Oct · 04:25 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1684
1-3Final setsWisniewski won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1574
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 62%. The actual result was Karol Wisniewski 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 74.5
76 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Malachowski is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Michal Malachowskipre 66% → final 34%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 54 ptsWisniewski recovered from 14%72 points · 4 games