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14 Oct · 05:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1633
3-2Final setsPoliniewicz won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1574
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 56%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.55
Favourite won
Total 75.5
90 points played
Over
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.45
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 60% → final 90%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 43 pts72 points · 5 games