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14 Oct · 06:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1684
3-0Final setsMalachowski won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1607
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 57%. The actual result was Michal Malachowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.6
Favourite won
Total 75.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −3.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.3
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Malachowski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Michal Malachowskipre 61% → final 96%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts59 points · 3 games