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14 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MCMilosz Cesarz
🇵🇱Milosz Cesarz
ELO 1340
3-0Final setsCesarz won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1487
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paszkiewicz at 67%. The actual result was Milosz Cesarz 3-0 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Paszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.27
Upset
Total 72.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
17.5
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Milosz Cesarz is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Milosz Cesarzpre 35% → final 96%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 64 ptsCesarz recovered from 32%55 points · 3 games