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14 Oct · 05:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1793
3-0Final setsMiastowski won
JKJakub Kwapis
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1639
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 65%. The actual result was Maksymilian Miastowski 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.37
Favourite won
Total 74.5
55 points played
Under
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
3.85
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Miastowski is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kwapis.

▲ Maksymilian Miastowskipre 70% → final 100%
Jakub Kwapis ▼
Biggest swing 33 pts54 points · 3 games