14 Oct · 09:10 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1284
FormLWLLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Brozek
PB
🇵🇱Piotr Brozek
ELO 1540
FormWLWWW
24%
76%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 75% · 1.33· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
33%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+256
H2H2-0
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+256)
- ✓Better recent form (4-1)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-0)