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14 Oct · 06:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1443
1-3Final setsRus won
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1284
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 60%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Boguslaw Madej favoured — closing 1.6
Upset
Total 78.5
88 points played
Over
Set handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Boguslaw Madej −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Maksymilian Rus.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 64% → final 1%
Maksymilian Rus ▼
Biggest swing 70 ptsRus recovered from 29%72 points · 4 games