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14 Oct · 06:25 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1638
3-0Final setsPoliniewicz won
JKJakub Kwapis
🇵🇱Jakub Kwapis
ELO 1632
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Poliniewicz at 53%. The actual result was Grzegorz Poliniewicz 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Grzegorz Poliniewicz favoured — closing 1.65
Favourite won
Total 74.5
56 points played
Under
Set handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Grzegorz Poliniewicz −2.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
5.8
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kwapis.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 57% → final 99%
Jakub Kwapis ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsPoliniewicz recovered from 38%54 points · 3 games