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14 Oct · 07:15 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1627
3-1Final setsKapik won
KWKarol Wisniewski
🇵🇱Karol Wisniewski
ELO 1559
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kapik at 54%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Krzysztof Kapik favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
68 points played
Under
Set handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Krzysztof Kapik −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Krzysztof Kapik is favoured to win, below means Karol Wisniewski.

▲ Krzysztof Kapikpre 58% → final 98%
Karol Wisniewski ▼
Biggest swing 40 pts67 points · 4 games