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14 Oct · 07:30 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1443
3-1Final setsMadej won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1388
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 55%. The actual result was Boguslaw Madej 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Boguslaw Madej favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 76.5
74 points played
Under
Set handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 59% → final 100%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 53 pts72 points · 4 games