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14 Oct · 07:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1488
3-0Final setsKurek won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kurek at 50%. The actual result was Pawel Kurek 3-0 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 74.5
60 points played
Under
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-0 at close
6
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Kurek is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Pawel Kurekpre 54% → final 98%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 66 ptsKurek recovered from 32%59 points · 3 games