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14 Oct · 07:40 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
GPGrzegorz Poliniewicz
🇵🇱Grzegorz Poliniewicz
ELO 1638
1-3Final setsMalachowski won
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1706
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 56%. The actual result was Michal Malachowski 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.75
Favourite won
Total 75.5
73 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Grzegorz Poliniewicz is favoured to win, below means Michal Malachowski.

▲ Grzegorz Poliniewiczpre 47% → final 4%
Michal Malachowski ▼
Biggest swing 50 pts72 points · 4 games