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14 Oct · 08:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MMMaksymilian Miastowski
🇵🇱Maksymilian Miastowski
ELO 1778
1-3Final setsKapik won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1627
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Miastowski at 68%. The actual result was Krzysztof Kapik 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Maksymilian Miastowski favoured — closing 1.25
Upset
Total 73.5
81 points played
Over
Set handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Maksymilian Miastowski −7.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Miastowski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Maksymilian Miastowskipre 66% → final 15%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 72 ptsKapik recovered from 24%72 points · 4 games