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14 Oct · 08:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
PSPawel Slosarczyk
🇵🇱Pawel Slosarczyk
ELO 1471
3-1Final setsSlosarczyk won
MPMichal Paszkiewicz
🇵🇱Michal Paszkiewicz
ELO 1471
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Paszkiewicz at 52%. The actual result was Pawel Slosarczyk 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Paszkiewicz favoured — closing 1.55
Upset
Total 74.5
67 points played
Under
Set handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Paszkiewicz −3.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
4.95
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Pawel Slosarczyk is favoured to win, below means Michal Paszkiewicz.

▲ Pawel Slosarczykpre 44% → final 76%
Michal Paszkiewicz ▼
Biggest swing 61 ptsSlosarczyk recovered from 28%65 points · 4 games