14 Oct · 11:55 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
JK
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1388
FormWLWLL
66%Win chancemodel fair 1.52Brozek
PB
🇵🇱Piotr Brozek
ELO 1535
FormLWWLW
34%
66%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kaczmarek
Fair odds · Brozek
Model 66% · 1.52vsMarket 66% · 1.52· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 50%Total ~78 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
24%
2-3
16%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+147
H2H3-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+147)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (3-1)