14 Oct · 12:35 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WI
🇵🇱Wojciech Iwasyszyn
ELO 1392
FormLWWLW
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Minda
MM
🇵🇱Michal Minda
ELO 1430
FormLWLLL
46%
54%
🌟Minda goes over total as favourite 74% (19)
Fair odds · Minda
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 69% · 1.44· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+38
H2H4-4
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.