14 Oct · 12:30 MESZHigh · Clear Favorite
KK
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1627
FormWWLLL
63%Win chancemodel fair 1.59Wloczko
KW
🇵🇱Krzysztof Wloczko
ELO 1742
FormLLLLW
37%
63%
🔥 Underdog lean · Kapik🌟Kapik covers set handicap as underdog 68% (193)
Fair odds · Wloczko
Model 63% · 1.59vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 9%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 47%Total ~76 pts
1-3
24%
0-3
23%
2-3
15%
3-1
15%
3-2
14%
Elo Gap+115
H2H27-18
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+115)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (27-18)