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14 Oct · 12:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kuzmicz
🇵🇱Jakub Kuzmicz
ELO 1816
3-1Final setsKuzmicz won
MRMateusz Rutkowski
🇵🇱Mateusz Rutkowski
ELO 1568
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kuzmicz at 75%. The actual result was Jakub Kuzmicz 3-1 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Jakub Kuzmicz favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 74.5
75 points played
Over
Set handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Jakub Kuzmicz −5.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
3.2
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kuzmicz is favoured to win, below means Mateusz Rutkowski.

▲ Jakub Kuzmiczpre 74% → final 94%
Mateusz Rutkowski ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsKuzmicz recovered from 27%72 points · 4 games