14 Oct · 14:40 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
RS
🇵🇱Rafal Stapor
ELO 1493
FormWWLLW
68%Win chancemodel fair 1.47Czerwinski
BC
🇵🇱Bartosz Czerwinski
ELO 1664
FormWWWLW
32%
68%
🌟Czerwinski goes over total as favourite 67% (12)
Fair odds · Czerwinski
Model 68% · 1.47vsMarket 69% · 1.45· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 51%Total ~77 pts
1-3
26%
0-3
25%
2-3
17%
3-1
13%
3-2
12%
Elo Gap+171
H2H15-4
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+171)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (15-4)