14 Oct · 14:45 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
MR
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1309
FormWWLLL
75%Win chancemodel fair 1.33Pruszkowski
JP
🇵🇱Jakub Pruszkowski
ELO 1558
FormWLWWL
25%
75%
🌟Rus rarely covers set handicap as underdog 32% (25)
Fair odds · Pruszkowski
Model 75% · 1.33vsMarket 77% · 1.30· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~75 pts
0-3
32%
1-3
27%
2-3
16%
3-2
10%
3-1
9%
Elo Gap+249
H2H2-1
Why this call
Why this pick? · 2 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+249)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (2-1)