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14 Oct · 13:30 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1412
1-3Final setsKaczmarek won
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1395
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 53%. The actual result was Jakub Kaczmarek 1-3 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Boguslaw Madej favoured — closing 1.75
Upset
Total 76.5
93 points played
Over
Set handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Boguslaw Madej is favoured to win, below means Jakub Kaczmarek.

▲ Boguslaw Madejpre 57% → final 100%
Jakub Kaczmarek ▼
Biggest swing 55 pts72 points · 4 games