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14 Oct · 13:00 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
MMMichal Malachowski
🇵🇱Michal Malachowski
ELO 1711
3-2Final setsMalachowski won
KKKrzysztof Kapik
🇵🇱Krzysztof Kapik
ELO 1644
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Malachowski at 57%. The actual result was Michal Malachowski 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Michal Malachowski favoured — closing 1.7
Favourite won
Total 75.5
109 points played
Over
Set handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Michal Malachowski −1.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
4.65
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Michal Malachowski is favoured to win, below means Krzysztof Kapik.

▲ Michal Malachowskipre 61% → final 96%
Krzysztof Kapik ▼
Biggest swing 46 pts59 points · 3 games