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14 Oct · 14:20 UTC · Final✕ Prediction missed
MRMaksymilian Rus
🇵🇱Maksymilian Rus
ELO 1314
3-1Final setsRus won
BMBoguslaw Madej
🇵🇱Boguslaw Madej
ELO 1412
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Madej at 63%. The actual result was Maksymilian Rus 3-1 — the underdog won.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Boguslaw Madej favoured — closing 1.47
Upset
Total 76.5
77 points played
Over
Set handicap
Boguslaw Madej −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Boguslaw Madej −4.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Exact score
market priced 3-1 at close
6.25
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Maksymilian Rus is favoured to win, below means Boguslaw Madej.

▲ Maksymilian Ruspre 33% → final 99%
Boguslaw Madej ▼
Biggest swing 73 ptsRus recovered from 26%72 points · 4 games