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14 Oct · 15:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
JKJakub Kaczmarek
🇵🇱Jakub Kaczmarek
ELO 1395
1-3Final setsBrozek won
PBPiotr Brozek
🇵🇱Piotr Brozek
ELO 1516
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Brozek at 63%. The actual result was Piotr Brozek 1-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Piotr Brozek favoured — closing 1.35
Favourite won
Total 73.5
70 points played
Under
Set handicap
Piotr Brozek −1.5 sets
Covered
Points handicap
Piotr Brozek −6.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Under
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Jakub Kaczmarek is favoured to win, below means Piotr Brozek.

▲ Jakub Kaczmarekpre 33% → final 88%
Piotr Brozek ▼
Biggest swing 87 ptsKaczmarek recovered from 2%72 points · 5 games