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14 Oct · 16:50 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
ARAdam Ruszkiewicz
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1511
3-2Final setsRuszkiewicz won
PKPawel Kurek
🇵🇱Pawel Kurek
ELO 1476
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Ruszkiewicz at 53%. The actual result was Adam Ruszkiewicz 3-2 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Pawel Kurek favoured — closing 1.65
Upset
Total 74.5
101 points played
Over
Set handicap
Pawel Kurek −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Pawel Kurek −2.5 points
No cover
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Exact score
market priced 3-2 at close
5.4
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Adam Ruszkiewicz is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Adam Ruszkiewiczpre 50% → final 78%
Pawel Kurek ▼
Biggest swing 67 ptsRuszkiewicz recovered from 11%72 points · 5 games