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14 Oct · 16:55 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct
KGKuba Golaszewski
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1272
2-3Final setsKowalczyk won
MKMarcin Kowalczyk
🇵🇱Marcin Kowalczyk
ELO 1343
What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Kowalczyk at 59%. The actual result was Marcin Kowalczyk 2-3 — the pick was correct.

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner
Marcin Kowalczyk favoured — closing 1.45
Favourite won
Total 73.5
99 points played
Over
Set handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −1.5 sets
No cover
Points handicap
Marcin Kowalczyk −5.5 points
Covered
Total sets 4.5
over / under
Over
Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Kuba Golaszewski is favoured to win, below means Marcin Kowalczyk.

▲ Kuba Golaszewskipre 44% → final 21%
Marcin Kowalczyk ▼
Biggest swing 65 ptsKowalczyk recovered from 17%72 points · 5 games