Mariusz Koczyba vs Pawel Kurek — TT Elite Series

← TT Elite Series predictions

14 Oct · 17:35 UTC · Final✓ Prediction correct

🇵🇱Mariusz Koczyba

ELO 1524

3-2Final setsKoczyba won

🇵🇱Pawel Kurek

ELO 1476

What the model said

Before the match, the model favoured Koczyba at 54%. The actual result was Mariusz Koczyba 3-2 — the pick was correct.

Mariusz Koczyba — profile →Pawel Kurek — profile →Head-to-head →

How the markets settled

The closing bookmaker lines vs the actual result — from the favourite's side. Descriptive, not a tip.

Match winner

Mariusz Koczyba favoured — closing 1.52

Favourite won

Total 73.5

93 points played

Over

Set handicap

Mariusz Koczyba −1.5 sets

No cover

Points handicap

Mariusz Koczyba −4.5 points

Covered

Total sets 4.5

over / under

Over

Exact score

market priced 3-2 at close

4.75

Win probability

Point by point, how the match win chance swung — same model as our highlight videos. Above the line means Mariusz Koczyba is favoured to win, below means Pawel Kurek.

▲ Mariusz Koczybapre 58% → final 78%

Pawel Kurek ▼

Biggest swing 74 ptsKoczyba recovered from 18%72 points · 5 games