14 Oct · 20:25 MESZElite · Strong Favorite
AR
🇵🇱Adam Ruszkiewicz
ELO 1511
FormWWWLL
76%Win chancemodel fair 1.32Ruszkiewicz
RA
🇵🇱Rafal Adach
ELO 1250
FormLLWLL
76%
24%
🌟Ruszkiewicz rarely covers set handicap as favourite 6% (17)
Fair odds · Ruszkiewicz
Model 76% · 1.32vsMarket 70% · 1.43· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 60%Total ~74 pts
3-0
33%
3-1
28%
3-2
16%
2-3
10%
1-3
9%
Elo Gap+261
H2H14-11
Why this call
Why this pick? · 3 reasons
- ✓Higher Elo rating (+261)
- ✓Better recent form (3-2)
- ✓Winning head-to-head (14-11)