14 Oct · 20:30 MESZLow · Slight Edge
WS
🇵🇱Waclaw Suchecki
ELO 1233
FormLWLLL
54%Win chancemodel fair 1.85Golaszewski
KG
🇵🇱Kuba Golaszewski
ELO 1272
FormWLWLL
46%
54%
🌟Golaszewski rarely covers set handicap as favourite 35% (26)
Fair odds · Golaszewski
Model 54% · 1.85vsMarket 62% · 1.61· vig 8%
Fair odds = price with no margin. The closing market is usually sharper than our model — we measured it.
Markets
Set score (sets)Fav −1.5 39%Total ~78 pts
1-3
21%
3-1
18%
0-3
17%
2-3
16%
3-2
15%
Elo Gap+39
H2H2-3
Why this call
Model read
No strong signal — near coin-flip. Model leans only marginally.